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Tampa, Florida 7 Day Weather Forecast
Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation
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NWS Forecast for 2 Miles ESE Tampa FL
National Weather Service Forecast for:
2 Miles ESE Tampa FL
Issued by: National Weather Service Tampa Bay, FL |
| Updated: 4:22 pm EDT May 24, 2026 |
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Tonight
Chance
Showers
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Memorial
Day
Mostly Sunny
then Chance
T-storms
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Monday
Night
Chance
T-storms then
Partly Cloudy
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Tuesday
Sunny then
Chance
T-storms
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Tuesday
Night
Showers
Likely
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Wednesday
Partly Sunny
then Chance
T-storms
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Wednesday
Night
Chance
T-storms
|
Thursday
Slight Chance
T-storms then
Chance
T-storms
|
Thursday
Night
Chance
T-storms
|
| Lo 75 °F |
Hi 92 °F |
Lo 76 °F |
Hi 93 °F |
Lo 76 °F |
Hi 91 °F |
Lo 76 °F |
Hi 87 °F |
Lo 76 °F |
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Tonight
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A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly before 1am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 75. Southeast wind 3 to 5 mph. |
Memorial Day
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A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly after 3pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 92. Heat index values as high as 99. East southeast wind around 9 mph. |
Monday Night
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A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 11pm, then a slight chance of showers between 11pm and midnight. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 76. Light and variable wind becoming southeast around 6 mph after midnight. Chance of precipitation is 30%. |
Tuesday
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A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 93. Heat index values as high as 100. East southeast wind around 9 mph. |
Tuesday Night
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A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 8pm, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm between 8pm and 2am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 76. Calm wind becoming east around 5 mph after midnight. Chance of precipitation is 60%. |
Wednesday
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A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 91. East southeast wind 6 to 8 mph. |
Wednesday Night
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A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms before 2am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 76. Light east southeast wind. |
Thursday
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A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly after 2pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 87. Light and variable wind becoming south around 5 mph in the afternoon. |
Thursday Night
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A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly before 8pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 76. Light and variable wind. |
Friday
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Showers and thunderstorms likely, mainly after 2pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 88. Chance of precipitation is 60%. |
Friday Night
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Showers and thunderstorms likely. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 77. Chance of precipitation is 60%. |
Saturday
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Showers and thunderstorms likely. Partly sunny, with a high near 86. Chance of precipitation is 60%. |
Saturday Night
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Showers and thunderstorms likely. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 76. Chance of precipitation is 60%. |
Sunday
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Showers and thunderstorms likely. Mostly sunny, with a high near 86. Chance of precipitation is 60%. |
Forecast from NOAA-NWS
for 2 Miles ESE Tampa FL.
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Weather Forecast Discussion
801
FXUS62 KTBW 242340
AFDTBW
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
740 PM EDT Sun May 24 2026
...New UPDATE, AVIATION...
.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 739 PM EDT Sun May 24 2026
- Above normal temperatures are expected through the weekend and
into early next week.
- Thunderstorms are expected to develop each day, mainly in the
afternoon and evening hours.
&&
.UPDATE...
Issued at 739 PM EDT Sun May 24 2026
Thunderstorms will continue to push west from the Tampa Bay region
northward across the Nature Coast for a couple hours after sunset
before diminishing. Farther inland and to the south, thunderstorms
have already ended for the day. With the loss of daytime heating and
the now cooler temperatures thanks to earlier rain, no new
development is expected through the evening.
The forecast remains on track this evening, with no major
adjustments needed at this time.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 244 PM EDT Sun May 24 2026
Our southeasterly flow will remain in place for Sunday.
This will once again favor mainly evening storms along the seabreeze
boundary about 10 to 20 miles away from the coast. These storms will
slowly drift to the west coast as we go throughout the rest of
the evening and early overnight hours.
We will not see much of change next Monday and Tuesday. The only
difference is a little drier air which will allow storm chances to
drop slightly. The bigger change will start on Wednesday as our
upper level flow starts to switch more southwesterly in response to
upper level troughing over the area. This will help to bring deep
tropical moisture over the area through the end of the week and into
our Saturday.
&&
.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 739 PM EDT Sun May 24 2026
For KTPA and KPIE, VCTS will continue for a couple more hours, with
temporary impacts at the field for another hour or so before storms
push west. Once these storms subside, all terminals should see quiet
conditions overnight and through tomorrow morning. A stronger
easterly flow favors a lower chance for storms tomorrow. However,
every terminal still has about a 30% chance for thunderstorms during
a three-to-four window in the late afternoon/evening hours.
Thunderstorms will continue to be possible each day, primarily in
the afternoon and evening hours, into the foreseeable future.
&&
.MARINE...
Issued at 244 PM EDT Sun May 24 2026
Not much changing through Tuesday. We will continue to see
south to southeasterly winds around 5 to 15 knots. Showers and
storms will develop inland in the late afternoon and push towards
the coast and into the Gulf from the late evening into the early
overnight hours. Upper level winds will switch to the southwest on
Wednesday bringing in deep tropical moisture over the area. This
will bring overnight showers and storms over the Gulf that will
push towards the coast in the morning hours.
&&
.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 244 PM EDT Sun May 24 2026
Summertime moisture with afternoon showers and storms will
continue through next Tuesday.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TPA 76 90 77 90 / 70 50 40 50
FMY 76 94 76 93 / 40 30 20 50
GIF 75 92 76 92 / 40 30 20 40
SRQ 75 91 75 92 / 60 50 30 40
BKV 72 92 73 93 / 70 50 50 50
SPG 76 92 77 93 / 60 40 30 40
&&
Sea Breeze Thunderstorm Regime For Monday: 7
Sea Breeze Thunderstorm Regime For Tuesday: 7
For additional information on sea breeze regimes, go to:
https://www.weather.gov/tbw/ThunderstormClimatology
&&
.TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
Gulf waters...None.
&&
$$
UPDATE/AVIATION...Flannery
PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...Shiveley
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